苏门答腊岛西北90B - 6.8N 89.1E - 北印新风季首扰，西行移近斯里兰卡

ygsj24

90B INVEST 230124 1800 5.0N 90.0E IO 15 0

红豆棒冰冰

北印新风季首扰，GFS 18Z报支持一定程度发展，系集也有明显反应

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 18Z系集，部分成员支持一定程度发展

红豆棒冰冰

IMD今天下午报文已经认定气旋性环流，预计1月27日左右可能形成低压区

A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER EAST EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND ADJOINING
SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY
TO FORM OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING EAST EQUATORIAL INDIAN
OCEAN AROUND 27TH JANUARY, 2023. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS
SLOWLY DURING SUBSEQUENT 3 DAYS.
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND
MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER
SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA.
47_8367de_Tropical Weather Outlook based on 0300 UTC of 25.01.2023.pdf (706.34 KB, 下载次数: 2)

2023-1-25 15:45 上传

点击文件名下载附件

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF及GFS 00Z报均有所反应，系集部分成员支持一定程度发展

红豆棒冰冰

GFS 00Z报继续支持一定程度发展

红豆棒冰冰

IMD今天下午报文继续认为1月27日左右可能形成低压区

YESTERDAY’S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND
ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL PERSISTS OVER SAME REGION AT 0300 UTC OF
TODAY, THE 26TH JANUARY, 2023. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS
LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING EAST EQUATORIAL
INDIAN OCEAN AROUND 27TH JANUARY, 2023. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS SLOWLY DURING SUBSEQUENT 3 DAYS.
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH OF LAT 100N &
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 93 DEGREE CELSIUS.
47_bb3aff_Tropical Weather Outlook based on 0300 UTC of 26.01.2023.pdf (383.93 KB, 下载次数: 0)

2023-1-26 14:52 上传

点击文件名下载附件

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 00Z系集部分成员继续支持一定程度发展

红豆棒冰冰

ECMWF 18Z系集，部分成员继续支持一定程度发展

红豆棒冰冰

今天上午至中午ASCAT风场扫描显示西北侧有25-30kt风旗