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ABPW10 PGTW 080900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080900Z-090600ZDEC2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
6.0N 134.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.5N 133.9E, APPROXIMATELY 60 NM
SOUTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A
080707Z GMI 89GHZ PASS DEPICT A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC)
PARTIALLY OBSCURED BY DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH
MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW TO MODERATE (10-20KT) VWS. SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURE REMAINS CONDUCIVE AT 29-30C. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS LEGAZPI, PHILIPPINES OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
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发表于 2022-12-8 12:24
发表于 2022-12-8 14:46
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