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[北半球大陆] 江淮气旋AS03-1122 - 吹袭日本 - JMA:SW 60KT 968hPa OPC:HFWW

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发表于 2022-11-22 23:01 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 wwwawa 于 2022-11-27 11:27 编辑

按照JMA定位,地面低压在上海附近形成并东移出海,数值预计系统靠近日本后讲迅速发展
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA
AT 32N 124E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 32N 127E 30N 131E.
COLD FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 29N 121E 27N 116E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST
SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS.
20221122144030_0_Z__C_010000_20221122120000_MET_CHT_JCIasas_JCP600x512_JRcolor_T.png gfs_z500_mslp_wpac_fh0-144.gif 39.phase1.png 39.phase2.png 39.track.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2022-11-23 09:52 | 显示全部楼层
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA
AT 32N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 32N 128E TO 31N 131E 30N 133E.
COLD FRONT FROM 32N 128E TO 30N 127E 28N 123E 27N 119E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS.
20221122203530_0_Z__C_010000_20221122180000_MET_CHT_JCIasas_JCP600x512_JRcolor_T.png canvas.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2022-11-23 10:40 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 wwwawa 于 2022-11-23 10:53 编辑

STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA
AT 33N 131E KYUSYU MOVING ENE 30 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 33N 131E TO 33N 133E 32N 136E 32N 139E 31N 142E.
COLD FRONT FROM 33N 131E TO 32N 130E 31N 129E 28N 127E 26N 123E.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 34N 139E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 38N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 131E
MOVING ENE 25 KNOTS.
canvas.png 20221123024300_0_Z__C_010000_20221123000000_MET_CHT_JCIasas_JCP600x512_JRcolor_T.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2022-11-23 17:20 | 显示全部楼层
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA
AT 33N 135E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING ENE 30 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 33N 135E TO 33N 139E 32N 143E.
COLD FRONT FROM 33N 135E TO 31N 133E 30N 131E 26N 128E 24N 124E.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 36N 141E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 38N 148E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 132E
MOVING ENE 25 KNOTS.
20221123083431_0_Z__C_010000_20221123060000_MET_CHT_JCIasas_JCP600x512_JRcolor_T.png canvas.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2022-11-23 22:04 | 显示全部楼层
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 41N155E 999 MB. FROM 33N TO
46N W OF 163W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 42N158E 976 MB. WITHIN 240
NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N160E 971 MB. WITHIN 150 NM S QUADRANT
WINDS 55 TO 65 KT. SEAS 28 TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE
AND 240 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 31 FT.
ALSO WITHIN 480 NM N AND E AND 660 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40
KT. SEAS 12 TO 26 FT.
P_sfc_full_ocean_color.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2022-11-23 23:29 | 显示全部楼层
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA
AT 35N 141E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING ENE 30 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 35N 141E TO 35N 144E 33N 148E.
COLD FRONT FROM 35N 141E TO 32N 138E 29N 134E 25N 129E.
WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
300 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 18 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 37N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 39N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 136E
MOVING ENE 25 KNOTS.
20221123142400_0_Z__C_010000_20221123120000_MET_CHT_JCIasas_JCP600x512_JRcolor_T.png canvas.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2022-11-24 09:04 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 wwwawa 于 2022-11-24 19:07 编辑

STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA
AT 36N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING ENE 25 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 35N 146E 33N 149E.
COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 33N 142E 31N 140E 27N 134E.
WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
400 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 6 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 38N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 41N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
20221123203430_0_Z__C_010000_20221123180000_MET_CHT_JCIasas_JCP600x512_JRcolor_T.png canvas.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2022-11-24 12:53 | 显示全部楼层
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 39N152E 980 MB. WITHIN 660
NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 40N155E 976 MB. WITHIN 480
NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST W OF AREA NEAR 44N159E 969 MB. WITHIN
360 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 TO 38 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N161E 967 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 24 TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 33 FT. ALSO WITHIN 600
NM NE AND 780 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 25
FT.
canvas.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2022-11-24 12:59 | 显示全部楼层
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 40N155E 978 MB. WITHIN 420
NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 720 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 T.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW JUST W OF AREA NEAR 44N159E 969 MB. WITHIN
420 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 TO 38 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N162E 968 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 24 TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM OF
LOW CENTER WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 33 FT. ALSO WITHIN 660
NM NE AND 900 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 25
FT.
canvas.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2022-11-24 13:03 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 wwwawa 于 2022-11-24 19:10 编辑

STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA
AT 37N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING ENE 25 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 145E TO 37N 147E 37N 148E.
WARM FRONT FROM 37N 148E TO 35N 150E 32N 152E.
COLD FRONT FROM 37N 148E TO 33N 146E 30N 143E 27N 135E.
WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 39N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 41N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
20221124023630_0_Z__C_010000_20221124000000_MET_CHT_JCIasas_JCP600x512_JRcolor_T.png canvas.png WMBds254.png
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