台风论坛

 找回密码
 立即注册

QQ登录

只需一步,快速开始

搜索
热搜: 台风
查看: 1221|回复: 112

[信息交流] 2020年JTWC、NHC及CPHC最佳路径与初报路径对比

[复制链接]

5

主题

511

帖子

1737

积分

强热带风暴

NaTyphoon

积分
1737
QQ
发表于 2021-9-16 21:31 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 热带低压纳纳 于 2021-9-28 13:35 编辑

随着JTWC公布2020年西太、北印及南半球的热带气旋最佳路径,2020年三个机构的最佳路径均已全部完成。此贴列出初报与最佳路径的对比表格,必要时指出变动概况。
位于我们网站的类似网页为http://img.natyphoon.top/?Read=1004,不过此处删去了部分内容,着重强调对比。
排序:以编号顺序为主。本贴洋区顺序为:西北太平洋(WP)、北大西洋(AL)、东北太平洋(EP)、北印度洋(IO)、南印度洋与南太平洋(SH)。
另外我们使用NRL官网的b-deck数据源作为初报路径的来源,目前来看基本上没有路径缺失的情况。

Map.png

评分

参与人数 2威望 +15 贡献值 +10 收起 理由
ty2019 + 15 优秀帖
327 + 10

查看全部评分

回复

使用道具 举报

5

主题

511

帖子

1737

积分

强热带风暴

NaTyphoon

积分
1737
QQ
 楼主| 发表于 2021-9-16 21:34 | 显示全部楼层

浏览指南

本帖最后由 热带低压纳纳 于 2021-9-17 00:10 编辑

路径表格阅读方法
(Example) EP202015 - Major Hurricane PATRICIA1
Best-Track
Real-time
Time2
Lat3
Lon4
VMAX5
MSLP6
Stage7
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
201510231200
17.3
-105.6
185
872
HU-5
201510231200
17.2
-105.6
175
880
HU-5

  • 表格标题,写明了气旋的编号、类型和名称。
  • 日期时间,格式YYYYMMDDHHMM,GMT时间。粗体为0000Z、0600Z、1200Z或1800Z。(没有用符号分隔是历史遗留问题不方便修改)
  • 某一时间气旋的纬度,单位°,正数为北纬,负数为南纬。
  • 某一时间气旋的经度,单位°,正数为东经,负数为西经。
  • 某一时间气旋的最大风速,为1分钟平均风速,单位kts。
  • 某一时间气旋的最低气压,单位mb(hPa)。
  • 某一时间气旋的性质,短横后的数字为飓风级别(SSHWS)。粗体为风速达到130kts。

可能出现的性质全称
性质全称
DBDisturbance
EXExtratropical Cyclone
HUHurricane
LOLow
MDMonsoon Depression
PTPost-Tropical Cyclone
SDSubtropical Depression
SSSubtropical Storm
STSuper Typhoon
TDTropical Depression
TSTropical Storm
TYTyphoon
WVTropical Wave
回复

使用道具 举报

5

主题

511

帖子

1737

积分

强热带风暴

NaTyphoon

积分
1737
QQ
 楼主| 发表于 2021-9-16 21:36 | 显示全部楼层

备用楼

留空,随时使用。
回复

使用道具 举报

5

主题

511

帖子

1737

积分

强热带风暴

NaTyphoon

积分
1737
QQ
 楼主| 发表于 2021-9-16 21:51 | 显示全部楼层

WP012020 - Typhoon (≥96 kt) VONGFONG (05.11-05.16)

本帖最后由 热带低压纳纳 于 2021-9-16 22:08 编辑

最大风速:100kts
最低气压:961mb
ACE:7.4175(+0.0125)

WP012020 - Typhoon VONGFONG
Best-Track
Real-time
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage






202005050000
4.1
141.5
20
1007
DB






202005050600
4.1
140.5
20
1007
DB






202005051200
4.2
139.5
20
1007
DB






202005051800
4.3
138.7
20
1005
DB






202005060000
4.6
137.8
20
1005
DB






202005060600
4.8
137.6
20
1007
DB






202005061200
5.0
137.2
15
1007
DB






202005061800
5.1
136.7
15
1010
DB






202005070000
5.1
136.7
15
1010
DB






202005070600
5.8
136.1
15
1005
DB






202005071200
6.2
135.9
15
1005
DB






202005071800
6.8
135.8
15
1010
DB






202005080000
7.1
135.1
15
1005
DB
202005080600
7.2
133.9
15
1009
DB
202005080600
7.3
134.0
15
1010
DB
202005081200
7.2
133.9
15
1009
DB
202005081200
7.0
133.7
15
1010
DB
202005081800
6.8
133.5
15
1008
DB
202005081800
6.8
133.3
15
1007
DB
202005090000
6.5
133.2
15
1008
DB
202005090000
6.7
132.8
20
1007
DB
202005090600
6.5
132.8
15
1007
DB
202005090600
6.8
132.5
20
1005
DB
202005091200
6.8
132.4
15
1007
DB
202005091200
6.9
132.3
20
1005
DB
202005091800
7.0
132.0
20
1006
DB
202005091800
7.0
132.0
20
1005
DB
202005100000
7.3
131.5
20
1006
DB
202005100000
7.2
131.5
20
1007
DB
202005100600
7.7
130.8
20
1006
DB
202005100600
7.8
130.7
20
1007
DB
202005101200
8.0
130.4
20
1006
DB
202005101200
8.2
130.3
20
1007
DB
202005101800
8.2
130.1
20
1006
DB
202005101800
8.3
129.8
20
1005
DB
202005110000
8.5
129.8
20
1006
DB
202005110000
8.4
129.4
20
1007
DB
202005110600
8.8
129.5
20
1006
DB
202005110600
8.7
129.1
20
1007
DB
202005111200
9.1
129.1
20
1006
DB
202005111200
9.2
129.0
20
1006
DB
202005111800
9.6
128.9
25
1004
TD
202005111800
9.8
129.1
25
1004
TD
202005120000
10.3
129.1
30
1003
TD
202005120000
10.3
129.2
30
1003
TD
202005120600
10.9
129.7
30
1002
TD
202005120600
11.0
129.5
30
1002
TD
202005121200
11.4
129.7
35
1003
TS
202005121200
11.6
129.5
40
1001
TS
202005121800
11.7
129.2
50
996
TS
202005121800
11.8
129.3
50
996
TS
202005130000
11.9
128.9
60
992
TS
202005130000
11.8
128.9
60
992
TS
202005130600
12.0
128.5
65
985
TY-1
202005130600
12.0
128.5
70
982
TY-1
202005131200
12.1
127.9
90
970
TY-2
202005131200
12.2
127.9
90
970
TY-2
202005131800
12.1
127.0
100
961
TY-3
202005131800
12.1
127.0
100
961
TY-3
202005140000
12.1
126.2
95
966
TY-2
202005140000
12.1
126.2
95
966
TY-2
202005140600
12.2
125.3
100
962
TY-3
202005140600
12.2
125.3
100
962
TY-3
202005141200
12.3
124.6
85
974
TY-2
202005141200
12.3
124.6
85
974
TY-2
202005141800
12.5
123.6
65
987
TY-1
202005141800
12.5
123.6
65
987
TY-1
202005150000
13.3
122.7
65
987
TY-1
202005150000
13.3
122.7
65
987
TY-1
202005150600
14.0
122.0
60
990
TS
202005150600
14.1
121.9
60
990
TS
202005151200
15.2
121.5
55
993
TS
202005151200
15.1
121.4
55
993
TS
202005151800
16.2
121.1
40
1001
TS
202005151800
16.2
121.1
45
998
TS
202005160000
18.0
120.0
40
998
TS
202005160000
18.0
119.5
30
1003
TD
202005160600
18.7
120.0
25
1005
TD
202005160600
18.6
120.0
25
1005
TD
202005161200
19.2
120.3
20
1006
DB
202005161200
19.2
120.3
20
1006
DB
202005161800
20.3
120.5
20
1005
DB
202005161800
20.0
120.2
20
1005
DB
202005170000
20.6
120.2
15
1006
DB
202005170000
20.5
120.2
15
1006
DB
202005170600
21.2
120.7
15
1007
DB
202005170600
21.3
120.5
15
1007
DB

回复

使用道具 举报

5

主题

511

帖子

1737

积分

强热带风暴

NaTyphoon

积分
1737
QQ
 楼主| 发表于 2021-9-16 22:04 | 显示全部楼层

WP022020 - Tropical Storm NURI (06.11-06.14)

本帖最后由 热带低压纳纳 于 2021-9-16 22:08 编辑

最大风速:35kts
最低气压:995mb(-3)
ACE:0.3675(+0.1225)

WP022020 - Tropical Storm NURI
Best-Track
Real-time
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
202006080000
10.4
132.5
15
1006
DB
202006080000
10.0
131.7
15
1006
DB
202006080600
10.3
131.5
15
1006
DB
202006080600
10.0
130.9
15
1006
DB
202006081200
10.3
130.4
20
1005
DB
202006081200
10.1
130.1
15
1006
DB
202006081800
10.6
129.2
20
1005
DB
202006081800
10.3
129.4
15
1006
DB
202006090000
10.8
128.0
15
1006
DB
202006090000
10.8
128.4
15
1006
DB
202006090600
11.0
127.2
15
1007
DB
202006090600
11.0
127.4
15
1010
DB
202006091200
11.1
126.4
15
1007
DB
202006091200
11.1
126.3
15
1008
DB
202006091800
11.3
125.9
15
1007
DB
202006091800
11.2
126.0
15
1007
DB
202006100000
11.5
125.6
20
1006
DB
202006100000
11.3
125.8
15
1008
DB
202006100600
11.8
125.3
20
1005
DB
202006100600
11.4
125.4
20
1005
DB
202006101200
12.6
125.0
20
1006
DB
202006101200
12.4
124.9
20
1007
DB
202006101800
13.3
124.5
20
1006
DB
202006101800
13.3
124.3
20
1006
DB
202006110000
14.1
123.9
20
1005
DB
202006110000
14.0
123.8
20
1005
DB
202006110600
14.8
123.0
20
1004
DB
202006110600
14.6
123.1
20
1004
DB
202006111200
15.4
122.0
20
1004
DB
202006111200
15.2
122.1
20
1004
DB
202006111800
15.9
120.8
25
1001
TD
202006111800
15.8
121.0
20
1004
DB
202006120000
16.4
119.4
30
1000
TD
202006120000
16.4
119.6
30
1002
TD
202006120600
16.9
118.2
30
1001
TD
202006120600
17.0
118.4
30
1001
TD
202006121200
17.4
117.2
30
1000
TD
202006121200
17.3
117.7
30
1000
TD
202006121800
17.9
116.2
30
999
TD
202006121800
18.1
117.2
30
999
TD
202006130000
18.5
115.4
30
1000
TD
202006130000
19.0
116.4
30
1000
TD
202006130600
19.2
114.6
35
996
TS
202006130600
19.7
115.2
35
998
TS
202006131200
19.9
113.9
35
995
TS
202006131200
20.2
114.3
35
998
TS
202006131800
20.7
113.1
35
998
TS
202006131800
20.8
113.3
30
1000
TD
202006140000
21.4
112.2
30
1000
TD
202006140000
21.8
112.0
25
1003
TD
202006140600
22.2
111.3
25
1004
TD
202006140600
22.4
111.2
25
1004
TD
202006141200
23.2
109.9
20
1006
DB
202006141200
23.3
110.0
20
1006
DB


回复

使用道具 举报

5

主题

511

帖子

1737

积分

强热带风暴

NaTyphoon

积分
1737
QQ
 楼主| 发表于 2021-9-16 22:07 | 显示全部楼层

WP032020 - Typhoon HAGUPIT (07.31-08.04)

本帖最后由 热带低压纳纳 于 2021-9-16 22:27 编辑

最大风速:75kts
最低气压:971mb
ACE:3.135(+0.24)
说明:略微上调了巅峰前后两报C1的强度。

WP032020 - Typhoon HAGUPIT
Best-Track
Real-time
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage






202007310000
16.7
130.9
15
1007
DB
202007310600
17.0
130.0
15
1007
DB
202007310600
17.0
130.1
15
1007
DB
202007311200
17.6
129.7
20
1007
DB
202007311200
17.6
129.6
20
1007
DB
202007311800
18.4
129.6
25
1006
TD
202007311800
18.5
129.5
25
1006
TD
202008010000
19.7
129.0
30
1004
TD
202008010000
19.8
129.0
30
1004
TD
202008010600
20.9
127.9
30
1004
TD
202008010600
20.9
127.9
30
1004
TD
202008011200
21.4
127.1
30
1005
TD
202008011200
21.4
126.7
30
1005
TD
202008011800
22.0
126.1
35
1003
TS
202008011800
22.1
125.9
35
1003
TS
202008020000
22.5
125.2
35
1005
TS
202008020000
22.7
125.1
35
1005
TS
202008020600
23.2
124.6
40
1000
TS
202008020600
23.2
124.6
40
1000
TS
202008021200
23.7
124.3
45
995
TS
202008021200
23.5
124.3
45
995
TS
202008021800
24.2
124.0
55
987
TS
202008021800
24.2
124.0
50
990
TS
202008030000
25.0
123.5
60
983
TS
202008030000
25.0
123.6
60
983
TS
202008030600
26.2
122.5
70
977
TY-1
202008030600
26.2
122.5
65
980
TY-1
202008031200
26.8
121.7
75
971
TY-1
202008031200
26.8
121.7
75
971
TY-1
202008031800
27.8
121.1
75
971
TY-1
202008031800
27.8
121.1
70
974
TY-1
202008040000
28.8
120.6
50
986
TS
202008040000
28.9
120.6
45
989
TS
202008040600
29.6
120.3
30
993
TD
202008040600
29.8
120.3
30
993
TD
202008041200
30.8
120.2
25
998
TD
202008041200
30.8
120.2
25
998
TD
202008041800
32.3
120.7
25
1000
TD
202008041800
32.4
120.4
25
1000
TD
202008050000
34.0
120.7
20
1002
DB
202008050000
34.1
120.9
20
1002
DB
202008050600
35.2
121.5
20
998
DB
202008050600
35.2
121.6
20
998
DB
202008051200
36.3
122.6
20
998
DB
202008051200
36.3
122.6
20
998
DB
202008051800
37.7
124.8
15
1000
EX
202008051800
37.8
124.7
20
998
DB
202008060000
39.4
128.6
25
995
EX
202008060000
39.3
128.8
20
996
DB

回复

使用道具 举报

5

主题

511

帖子

1737

积分

强热带风暴

NaTyphoon

积分
1737
QQ
 楼主| 发表于 2021-9-16 22:16 | 显示全部楼层

WP042020 - Tropical Storm SINLAKU (08.01-08.02)

本帖最后由 热带低压纳纳 于 2021-9-16 22:27 编辑

最大风速:45kts(+10)
最低气压:989mb(-4)
ACE:0.81(+0.075)
说明:8月2日(位于北部湾,登陆越南前后)强度上调幅度较大。

WP042020 - Tropical Storm SINLAKU
Best-Track
Real-time
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage






202007281800
13.9
124.8
15
1005
DB
202007290000
14.4
123.9
15
1005
DB
202007290000
14.2
124.2
15
1005
DB
202007290600
14.8
122.4
15
1005
DB
202007290600
14.5
123.6
15
1005
DB
202007291200
15.3
121.0
15
1005
DB
202007291200
15.1
122.2
15
1005
DB
202007291800
15.5
119.4
15
1005
DB
202007291800
15.5
120.6
15
1005
DB
202007300000
16.0
117.7
15
1005
DB
202007300000
15.8
118.7
15
1010
DB
202007300600
16.1
116.4
15
1005
DB
202007300600
16.1
117.1
15
1003
DB
202007301200
16.2
115.1
15
1004
DB
202007301200
16.5
115.3
15
1004
DB
202007301800
16.3
114.0
20
1004
MD
202007301800
16.7
114.3
20
1005
MD
202007310000
16.5
113.2
25
1003
MD
202007310000
17.0
113.4
25
1003
MD
202007310600
17.0
112.6
25
999
MD
202007310600
17.2
112.6
25
999
MD
202007311200
17.0
111.7
25
999
MD
202007311200
17.2
112.0
25
999
MD
202007311800
17.3
111.0
25
996
MD
202007311800
17.7
110.8
25
996
MD
202008010000
17.8
110.0
30
997
MD
202008010000
18.0
109.7
25
996
MD
202008010600
18.5
108.6
35
995
TS
202008010600
18.5
108.5
35
995
TS
202008011200
18.7
107.7
35
994
TS
202008011200
18.8
107.6
35
994
TS
202008011800
19.0
107.1
40
992
TS
202008011800
19.1
107.1
35
994
TS
202008020000
19.4
106.5
45
989
TS
202008020000
19.4
106.5
35
993
TS
202008020600
19.7
105.8
45
989
TS
202008020600
19.7
105.8
35
994
TS
202008021200
19.7
104.9
30
997
TD
202008021200
19.9
105.0
35
995
TS
202008021800
19.2
103.1
20
1000
DB
202008021800
19.3
103.5
30
996
TD






202008030000
19.2
101.8
25
997
TD
回复

使用道具 举报

5

主题

511

帖子

1737

积分

强热带风暴

NaTyphoon

积分
1737
QQ
 楼主| 发表于 2021-9-16 22:19 | 显示全部楼层

WP052020 - Tropical Storm JANGMI (08.08-08.10)

最大风速:40kts
最低气压:990mb
ACE:0.81

WP052020 - Tropical Storm JANGMI
Best-Track
Real-time
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage






202008061200
14.0
127.6
15
1006
DB






202008061800
15.0
126.5
15
1006
DB






202008070000
15.4
125.6
15
1007
DB






202008070600
16.0
125.3
15
1006
DB






202008071200
16.5
125.6
20
1004
DB






202008071800
16.9
126.0
20
1003
DB
202008080000
17.2
126.7
20
1001
DB
202008080000
17.5
126.2
20
1001
DB
202008080600
18.1
126.3
20
1002
DB
202008080600
18.3
126.3
20
1002
DB
202008081200
19.3
126.1
25
1002
TD
202008081200
19.5
126.2
25
1002
TD
202008081800
21.2
126.1
30
1001
TD
202008081800
21.3
126.2
30
1001
TD
202008090000
23.0
125.9
30
1000
TD
202008090000
23.1
126.2
30
1000
TD
202008090600
25.2
126.2
35
995
TS
202008090600
25.4
126.3
35
995
TS
202008091200
27.4
126.2
40
990
TS
202008091200
27.6
126.3
40
990
TS
202008091800
29.7
126.7
40
991
TS
202008091800
29.4
126.5
40
991
TS
202008100000
32.2
127.6
35
992
TS
202008100000
32.2
127.7
35
992
TS
202008100600
34.6
128.6
35
991
TS
202008100600
34.6
128.8
35
991
TS
202008101200
37.2
130.0
35
994
TS
202008101200
37.1
130.1
35
994
TS
202008101800
39.8
132.4
35
992
EX
202008101800
40.1
132.2
35
992
EX
202008110000
42.9
136.0
35
990
EX
202008110000
42.7
135.8
35
990
EX






202008110600
44.9
139.5
35
996
EX
回复

使用道具 举报

5

主题

511

帖子

1737

积分

强热带风暴

NaTyphoon

积分
1737
QQ
 楼主| 发表于 2021-9-16 22:24 | 显示全部楼层

WP062020 - Tropical Storm SIX (08.09-08.12)

本帖最后由 热带低压纳纳 于 2021-9-16 23:08 编辑

最大风速:45kts
最低气压:1000mb(+4)
ACE:0.6075(-0.2025)
说明:一个在副高内部突然生成的无名风暴,下调了巅峰后的强度。

WP062020 - Tropical Storm SIX
Best-Track
Real-time
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
202008090000
25.9
148.9
25
1005
TD
202008090000
26.0
149.1
30
1000
TD
202008090600
26.0
148.4
35
1004
TS
202008090600
26.1
148.3
35
996
TS
202008091200
26.1
147.9
45
1000
TS
202008091200
26.1
147.6
45
1005
TS
202008091800
26.1
146.9
40
1003
TS
202008091800
26.1
147.0
45
1005
TS
202008100000
26.2
146.2
35
1006
TS
202008100000
26.2
146.3
40
1007
TS
202008100600
26.2
145.3
30
1007
TD
202008100600
26.2
145.3
35
1009
TS
202008101200
26.3
144.3
30
1008
TD
202008101200
26.3
144.1
30
1008
TD
202008101800
26.5
142.9
25
1009
TD
202008101800
26.4
142.8
25
1009
TD
202008110000
26.6
141.5
25
1011
TD
202008110000
26.6
141.5
25
1011
TD
202008110600
26.6
140.5
25
1009
TD
202008110600
26.6
140.5
25
1009
TD
202008111200
26.6
139.5
25
1008
TD
202008111200
26.5
139.5
25
1006
TD
202008111800
26.5
137.7
25
1009
TD
202008111800
26.5
137.7
25
1009
TD
202008120000
26.3
136.7
25
1010
TD
202008120000
26.2
136.6
25
1010
TD
202008120600
25.8
135.4
25
1009
TD
202008120600
25.7
135.2
25
1006
TD
202008121200
25.6
134.3
25
1007
TD
202008121200
25.2
134.1
25
1007
TD
202008121800
24.7
132.6
25
1009
TD
202008121800
24.8
133.0
25
1009
TD






202008130000
24.5
131.5
15
1012
DB

回复

使用道具 举报

5

主题

511

帖子

1737

积分

强热带风暴

NaTyphoon

积分
1737
QQ
 楼主| 发表于 2021-9-16 22:26 | 显示全部楼层

WP072020 - Typhoon MEKKHALA (08.09-08.11)

本帖最后由 热带低压纳纳 于 2021-9-16 23:06 编辑

最大风速:70kts
最低气压:980mb
ACE:1.86(-0.1275)
说明:下调了登陆后的强度。

WP072020 - Typhoon MEKKHALA
Best-Track
Real-time
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
Time
Lat
Lon
VMAX
MSLP
Stage
202008081200
14.9
117.3
15
1010
DB
202008081200
14.6
117.6
15
1010
DB
202008081800
15.0
117.8
20
1005
DB
202008081800
14.8
117.9
15
1010
DB
202008090000
15.3
118.0
20
1001
DB
202008090000
15.2
118.1
20
1001
DB
202008090600
15.9
118.3
25
999
TD
202008090600
16.0
118.4
20
1007
DB
202008091200
17.0
118.5
30
998
TD
202008091200
17.0
118.5
30
1000
TD
202008091800
18.2
118.6
30
997
TD
202008091800
18.3
118.6
30
999
TD
202008100000
19.3
118.6
35
996
TS
202008100000
19.2
118.6
35
999
TS
202008100600
20.4
118.6
45
994
TS
202008100600
20.3
118.6
35
999
TS
202008101200
21.6
118.5
50
988
TS
202008101200
21.6
118.5
45
991
TS
202008101800
22.9
118.2
65
984
TY-1
202008101800
22.9
118.2
65
984
TY-1
202008102100
23.5
118.0
70
980
TY-1
202008102100
23.6
117.9
70
980
TY-1
202008110000
24.2
117.7
70
980
TY-1
202008110000
24.2
117.7
70
980
TY-1
202008110600
25.5
117.3
50
993
TS
202008110600
25.3
117.4
55
986
TS
202008111200
27.4
116.8
35
1001
TS
202008111200
26.7
117.1
45
989
TS
202008111800
28.3
115.9
25
1005
TD
202008111800
28.8
116.4
35
996
TS
202008120000
28.7
114.6
20
1007
DB
202008120000
30.8
115.2
25
1002
TD
回复

使用道具 举报

您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 立即注册

本版积分规则

Archiver|手机版|小黑屋|台风论坛 ( 沪ICP备20014818号-2 )

GMT+8, 2021-10-22 05:57

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

Copyright © 2001-2020, Tencent Cloud.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表