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[2021] 2105号台风“蔷琵”(06W.Champi) - 掠过关岛,北上转向 - JTWC:65KT

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 楼主| 发表于 2021-6-27 09:08 | 显示全部楼层
JTWC 00Z分析降至T2.0/2.5,SSD降至T1.5/2.5
TPPN10 PGTW 262359
A. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI)
B. 26/2340Z
C. 29.82N
D. 141.34E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T2.0/2.5/W2.0/24HRS  STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. SYSTEM IS SHEARED 67NM YIELDS A
DT OF 1.5. MET YIELDS 2.5 AND PT YIELDS 2.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   RHOADES
TXPQ25 KNES 270055
TCSWNP
A.  06W (CHAMPI)
B.  26/2330Z
C.  29.8N
D.  141.4E
E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-8
F.  T1.5/2.5
G.  IR/EIR/VIS
H.  REMARKS...THIS INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR DATA. A
LLCC WITH CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES THAT LIES LESS THAN 1.25 DEGREES
AWAY FROM A SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION RESULTS IN A DT OF 1.5. THE MET IS
2.0 BASED ON A RAPIDLY WEAKENING TREND IN APPARENT INTENSITY OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 1.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...HOSLEY
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
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 楼主| 发表于 2021-6-27 18:09 | 显示全部楼层
SSD 06Z判定转温,JTWC 09Z发出最后一报分析
TXPQ25 KNES 270633
TCSWNP
A.  06W (CHAMPI)
B.  27/0530Z
C.  31.7N
D.  142.4E
E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-8
F.  EXTRATROPICAL
G.  IR/EIR/VIS
H.  REMARKS...THIS ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR DATA. DUE TO THE
COMBINATION OF CONVECTION HAVING MOVED POLEWARD AND EASTWARD OF THE LLCC,
ALONG WITH THE MARKED ACCELERATION TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE
PAST 6 HOURS, IT HAS BEEN DETERMINED THAT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION HAS
COMMENCED. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN FOR THIS SYSTEM UNLESS THE
SYSTEM REGAINS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...HOSLEY
053000-vis.png
053000-bd.png
053000-color.png
TPPN10 PGTW 270909
A. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI)
B. 27/0830Z
C. 33.30N
D. 143.77E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. XT2.5/2.5
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 47A/PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. WELL ORGANIZED LLCC
WITH CONVECTION AND FORWARD SPEED OF 22 KTS WRAPS 0.30 ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDING XT2.5. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL FIX ISSUED BY
JTWC ON THIS AREA. THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR
POSSIBLE REDEVELOPMENT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   HEINS
083000-vis.png
083000-bd.png
083000-color.png
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
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 楼主| 发表于 2021-6-27 20:05 | 显示全部楼层
JMA 12Z分析DT1.5 MET2 PT1.5 FT1.5 CI2
meteorologicalAttributeSignificance:        missing
timeIntervalOverWhichMovementOfTropicalCycloneHasBeenCalculated:        4
featureDirectionOfMotion:        39 deg
speedOfMotionOfFeature:        11.83 m/s
accuracyOfGeographicalPositionOfTropicalCyclone:        3
meanDiameterOfOvercastCloudOfTropicalCyclone:        2
apparent24HourChangeInIntensityOfTropicalCyclone:        0
currentIntensityNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
dataTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
cloudPatternTypeOfDtNumber:        2
modelExpectedTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        2
trendOfPast24HourChangeDevelopedWeakened:        -1
patternTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
cloudPictureTypeOfPtNumber:        3
finalTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:        1.5
finalTNumberType:        2
120000-bd.png
120000-color.png
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
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 楼主| 发表于 2021-6-27 21:47 | 显示全部楼层
CMA、JMA、KMA 12Z报均判定蔷琵转温
台风快讯
2021年总247期
中国气象局中央气象台06月27日20时14分

今年第5号台风“蔷琵”今天(27日)晚上在日本东南洋面变性为温带气旋,目前其风力进一步减弱,已很难确定其环流中心,中央气象台于今天20时对其停止编号。
WTPQ50 RJTD 271200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN  271200UTC 34N 144E
MOVE  NNE 25KT
PRES  998HPA
MXWD  040KT
30KT  300NM =
RTKO63_202106272200]05_en.png
惟愿公平如滚滚流水,而正义则像永不止息的溪流。
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发表于 2021-6-29 19:30 | 显示全部楼层
ACE = 5.29

Champi_2021_track.png
Champi_2021-06-26_0400Z.jpg
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